Neil Cybart 4/25/23 Neil Cybart 4/25/23

Humane’s Worrying Reveal, Humane’s Miscalculation, Tesla Follow Up (Daily Update)

We kick things off with Humane’s co-CEO Imran Chaudhri unveiling what the company has been working on in a series of demos during a TED Talk. It’s the first time the buzzy HW startup with dozens of former Apple employees has shown off anything publicly. The discussion then turns to a misclaucation Humane has made. We conclude with some follow-up to our discussion regarding Tesla earnings.

Happy Monday. Welcome to a new week.

Earlier today, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the district court’s decision in Epic Games vs. Apple. It’s (another) major legal win for Apple and the company’s App Store practices in the U.S., although the legal back-and-forth could continue. We will talk about the ruling this week.

Let’s jump into today’s update.

Humane’s Worrying Reveal

Last month, we talked about Humane, the buzzy hardware startup comprised of dozens of former Apple employees. Based on patents, hiring activity, and marketing materials, the company has been working on a wearable camera and accompanying projection system technology. More recently, the company has been talking up AI.

Last week, Humane’s co-CEO Imran Chaudhri unveiled what the company has been working on in a series of demos during a TED Talk. It’s the first time the company has shown off anything publicly. You can check out the demo clips below (the blue links).

Based on what was shown off, major questions need to be asked about Humane’s strategy and path forward.

An Above Avalon membership is required to continue reading this update. Members can read the full update here. An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership. More information about the podcast add-on is found here.

(Members: Daily Updates are always accessible by logging into Slack. If you haven’t logged into Slack before, fill out this form to receive an invite.)

Above Avalon Membership

Subscribe $20/month

Subscribe $200/year

Payment is processed and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. Special Inside Orchard bundle pricing is available for Above Avalon members.

More information about Above Avalon membership, including the full list of benefits and privileges, is available here.

Neil Cybart 4/21/23 Neil Cybart 4/21/23

Tesla Earnings, Tesla Lessons for Apple (Daily Update)

Hello everyone. Earnings season is upon us.

The plan for this earnings cycle is to focus in particular on larger themes and base our discussions around any changes or developments to those themes. We will kick things off with Tesla and the auto space. After going over the main takeaways from Tesla’s earnings, we look at some lessons that Apple can learn from regarding how best to navigate the EV space.

Tesla Earnings

Here’s the WSJ:

“Tesla Inc. felt the pain of a recent wave of price cuts, as a reduction in the average price of its cars contributed to a 24% decline in first-quarter profit.

Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle maker has lowered prices for models in the U.S. by between 14% and 25% this year as it contends with weaker demand, higher interest rates and burgeoning competition. The latest round of reductions came on the eve of earnings.

‘We’ve taken a view that pushing for higher volumes and a larger fleet is the right choice here versus a lower volume and higher margin,’ Mr. Musk, Tesla’s chief executive, said Wednesday on an earnings call, adding that he expects to be able to harvest additional software revenue down the line.

Teslas sold for an average of around $46,000 in the first quarter, less than the company had forecast and down from some $52,200 in the first three months of 2022.”

Tesla's core automative gross margins – excluding ZEV credits – declined to 16% from 26% the previous year. While those are good margins for an automaker, many have spent years saying Tesla wasn't a regular automaker. Vehicle deliveries were