Apple Considering Supplier Shift for Vision Pro Displays, Vision Pro and China, Thursday Q&A
We kick things off with some news on the Vision Pro supply chain front. While things can certainly change between now and the Vision Pro launch next year, we are getting a better view of what appears to be a challenge manufacturing Vision Pro at scale: OLEDoS (OLED on Silicon) displays. The discussion then goes over Neil’s thoughts on Vision Pro manufacturing and assembly in China. We conclude with the latest installment of Thursday Q&A in which Neil answers the following questions from Above Avalon members:
What’s motivating Apple’s deal strategy with live sports?
Do you agree that it has become increasingly challenging to estimate installed base totals for key Apple product categories? Will Apple change its approach? Is the lack of disclosure related to antitrust issues?
Did Apple change its commentary regarding installed base figures in the last earnings call?
Apple Considering Supplier Shift for Vision Pro Displays
“When Apple dealt with Chinese manufacturers in the past, it was to buy low-level components such as small metal parts, paper boxes and batteries. For advanced parts such as displays and chips, the iPhone maker turned to firms headquartered in the U.S., Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.
Times are changing.
Apple is currently testing advanced displays made by two Chinese suppliers for possible inclusion in future models of its Vision Pro mixed-reality headsets, said two people with direct knowledge of the matter. The two suppliers, BOE Technology and SeeYa Technology, are among a crop of Chinese companies that are making high-end technologies, spurred by government policies designed to reduce China’s reliance on foreign tech while also making its homegrown firms more competitive.”
The Information’s article suffers from what has unfortunately become a norm in the Apple news sphere: narrative-based writing. A piece of reporting is wrapped in an opinion-based narrative. In this case, the new reporting is BOE Technology and SeeYa Technology working with Apple on a possible future supplier arrangement with Vision Pro in mind. The story used to wrap the reporting in is that Apple is benefiting from Chinese policies put in place to hurt the U.S. It’s quite the stretch. We will talk more about China shortly.
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More Smoke for Apple Vision Pro Production Issues, Goldman Sachs Looking For Way out of Apple Partnership
Hello everyone. It's good to be back after a long weekend. We will kick off this holiday-shortened week with two news stories that appeared on Neil’s radar. The update begins with Neil’s thoughts on the latest news from the Apple Vision Pro supply chain. Odds are increasing that we won’t know Vision Pro demand for quite some time after launch. The discussion then turns to Goldman Sachs reportedly looking to get out of its Apple partnership which raised various implications for Apple.
More Smoke for Apple Vision Pro Production Issues
“Apple has been forced to make drastic cuts to production forecasts for the mixed-reality Vision Pro headset, unveiled last month after seven years in development and hailed as its most significant product launch since the iPhone.
The complexity of the headset design and difficulties in production are behind the scaling back of targets, while plans for a more affordable version of the device have had to be pushed back, according to multiple people with direct knowledge of the manufacturing process...
Two people close to Apple and Luxshare, the Chinese contract manufacturer that will initially assemble the device, said it was preparing to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024. Multiple industry sources said Luxshare was currently Apple’s only assembler of the device. Separately, two China-based sole suppliers of certain components for the Vision Pro said Apple was only asking them for enough for 130,000 to 150,000 units in the first year.”
The FT’s report adds credibility to TheElec’s report from last month which said Sony will be able to produce enough OLEDoS (OLED on Silicon) for about 450,000 headsets. Each headset contains two postage stamp-sized OLEDoS displays (one for each eye).
The ~450,000 headsets per year figure didn’t appear to include any impact from yield issues or other manufacturing difficulties. With those issues in mind, a more realistic supply figure would be
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Apple Acquires AR Headset Maker Mira, Vision Pro Supply Constraints, Apple and Disney M&A Chatter Grows
Hello everyone. We will talk about three Apple-related news items that came out in the past week.
Apple Acquires AR Headset Maker Mira
“Apple has acquired Mira, a Los Angeles-based AR startup that makes headsets for other companies and the US military, according to a posts from the CEO’s private Instagram account yesterday seen by The Verge and a person familiar with the matter. Apple confirmed the acquisition.
The news comes just one day after Apple unveiled the Vision Pro, a $3,499 mixed reality headset that the company has billed as a new ‘spatial’ computing platform. It’s unclear how much Apple paid for Mira, which raised about $17 million in funding to date. Jony Ive, Apple’s former design chief, was an advisor to the startup at one point, according to two former employees who requested anonymity to speak without the company’s permission.
Apple sent The Verge its typical statement it gives when it buys a company: ‘Apple buys smaller technology companies from time to time, and we generally do not discuss our purpose or plans.’”
This has all the makings of being primarily a talent acquisition. It is certainly possible that Apple also got its hands on some patents. However, Mira’s focus on being a design-led, scrappy startup piecing together smartphone components and $15 fish bowls to come up with an AR headset with a visor-like shield speaks more to ingenuity and ideas being their most valuable asset.
Mira’s CEO and co-founder, Ben Taft, is all-in on AR while showing heavy skepticism of the metaverse/VR.
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