Apple’s Paid Subscriptions Growth, Apple Gross Margin Hits Decade High, Apple’s Next Marginal Customer (Daily Update)
Hello everyone. In today's update, we will address a few topics carried over from Apple's 1Q23 earnings release: paid subscriptions growth trends and gross margin improvement. We begin with Neil’s estimates for new paid subscriptions added across Apple’s ecosystem on a quarterly basis. The discussion then turns to Apple’s gross margin improvement. We go over the most likely driver of the stronger performance. The update concludes with an underlying story to be told about Apple’s gross margin hitting a 10-year high. Let's jump right in.
Apple’s Paid Subscriptions Growth
It’s been five months since we last examined Apple’s paid subscriptions trends.
In keeping with its usual disclosure, Apple provided an updated total during its 1Q23 earnings call for the number of paid subscriptions across the Apple ecosystem.
Based on Apple’s commentary, here are my estimates for the number of paid subscriptions across Apple’s ecosystem (first party and third party) on a quarterly basis:
1Q20: 482M paid subscriptions
2Q20: 518M
3Q20: 553M
4Q20: 588M
1Q21: 623M
2Q21: 663M
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