Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

iPhone Sales Angst Continues, Sales on Apple Products Spread, Tesla Announces 10% Layoff

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • iPhone Sales Angst Continues

  • Sales on Apple Products Spread

  • Tesla Announces 10% Layoff

We kick things off with my thought’s on iPhone sales trends in the first three months of 2024. The discussion then turns to more retailers running with surprisingly large discounts on Apple products. We conclude with Tesla layoffs.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Tesla Reportedly Cancels Inexpensive Car Project, Tesla’s Master Plan, Part Deux, Friday Q&A

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Tesla Reportedly Cancels Inexpensive Car Project

  • Tesla’s Master Plan, Part Deux

  • Friday Q&A

We kick things off with my thought’s on Reuters’ article regarding Tesla cancelling its Model 2 project. The discussion then revisits Elon Musk’s revised master plan for Tesla from the mid-2010s. The update concludes with a Friday Q&A and the following questions:

  • Were Project Titan’s cancellation and the in-house microLED displays team disbandment driven by cost-cutting motives as revenue stagnates?

  • Why can’t Apple build a battery-powered HomePod or HomePod mini for portable use cases?

  • Do you think it will take years for Apple Vision Pro to become a meaningful contribution to Apple’s revenue story?

  • Why didn’t Apple launch Apple Vision Pro with a larger catalog of Apple Immersive Video films?

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


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Member Privileges and Benefits

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  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Revisiting iPhone Manufacturing In India, U.S. Announces TSMC Subsidy, Samsung to Receive U.S. Subsidy

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Revisiting iPhone Manufacturing In India

  • U.S. Announces TSMC Subsidy

  • Samsung to Receive U.S. Subsidy

Hello everyone. Today’s update has an Apple manufacturing / supply chain apparatus theme. We begin with my thoughts on some new reporting regarding iPhone manufacturing and assembly in India. There are a few underlying themes found with the iPhone manufacturing in India story. The update then turns to TSMC and Samsung receiving U.S. subsidies under the U.S. CHIPS and Science Act.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

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Member Privileges and Benefits

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  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Talks up Vision Pro at Work, Apple Announces Enterprise Spatial Design Lab, Inside Apple Vision Pro

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Apple Talks up Vision Pro at Work

  • Apple Announces Enterprise Spatial Design Lab

  • Inside Apple Vision Pro

In today’s update, we take a closer look at Apple’s attempt to draw attention to Vision Pro in business settings. The discussion turns to Apple announcing a new Enterprise Spatial Design Lab. We conclude with Lumafield publishing one of the more interesting “teardowns” of an Apple product.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Reportedly Partnering With Shutterstock for AI Model Training, Shutterstock’s Attractiveness, Apple Adds More Licensed Movies to Apple TV+

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Apple Reportedly Partnering With Shutterstock for AI Model Training

  • Shutterstock’s Attractiveness

  • Apple Adds More Licensed Movies to Apple TV+

Hello everyone. Yesterday (Monday) turned out to be crazier than expected given the solar eclipse and the NCAA basketball championship game. Even though we didn’t experience totality in Connecticut, the eclipse still made for an exciting day. A few members reached out with some impressive photos and videos.

Congratulations UConn on winning their SIXTH basketball championship in style by going back-to-back. Go Huskies.

In today’s update, we go over my thoughts on the Reuters story regarding the how and why everyone in Big Tech is running to established content (photo) providers for ML and AI model training. The discussion then turns specifically to Shutterstock. We conclude with a few new observations regarding more licensed movies being available on Apple TV+.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

Contact me directly if you would like to purchase multiple subscriptions (five or more) for your team or company.

Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Tesla 1Q24 Deliveries, What’s up With Tesla?, Ford Increases Bet on Hybrids, GM Shakes up Software Team

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Tesla 1Q24 Deliveries

  • What’s up With Tesla?

  • Ford Increases Bet on Hybrids

  • GM Shakes up Software Team

One member in the forum raised a good point regarding livestreaming Apple Immersive Video. Last year, Apple acquired WaveOne. We talked about the acquisition in the March 28th, 2023 update (available here). The company was in the business of AI algorithms for video compression. The takeaway from that acquisition wasn’t specific to livestreaming sports but rather the broader trend of consuming video and your surroundings on spatial computers.

Today’s update will be dedicated to the auto space.

A few quick notes regarding how we will approach the auto industry following Apple halting Project Titan. In summary, there won’t be any major changes to coverage.

  1. It is good to keep abreast of what’s unfolding in the car industry as the market is too large for Apple to ignore. While the ingredients may not be in ripe for Apple’s entry over the next few years, we can’t rule out the company having renewed interest down the road.

  2. Apple’s CarPlay initiative is one of the more promising integrations between first-party hardware and non-Apple hardware. There are plenty of related implications worth monitoring including Apple Services’ role on the road (maps, music, etc.). It is good to stay up to date as to how CarPlay is being embraced via vehicles sales trends etc.

Let’s jump into today’s update.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

Contact me directly if you would like to purchase multiple subscriptions (five or more) for your team or company.

Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Releases "2023 MLS Cup Highlights" for Vision Pro, A Breathtaking Moment for Vision Pro, Apple Immersive Video Questions

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Apple Releases "2023 MLS Cup Highlights" for Vision Pro

  • A Breathtaking Moment for Vision Pro

  • Apple Immersive Video Questions

Hello everyone. It feels good to be back after a long weekend. We will get back into the swing of things by discussing one thing that captured my attention in recent days: Apple releasing a new immersive film for Apple Vision Pro.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

Contact me directly if you would like to purchase multiple subscriptions (five or more) for your team or company.

Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

U.S. Justice Department Turned to European Commission for Help in Apple Battle, Apple Will Seek U.S. Antitrust Complaint Dismissal, The Big Picture

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • U.S. Justice Department Turned to European Commission for Help in Apple Battle

  • Apple Will Seek U.S. Antitrust Complaint Dismissal

  • The Big Picture

In today’s update, we will tackle a few tangential topics related to the Justice Department’s antitrust complaint against Apple.

As for the complaint itself, the past two updates covered most of what needed to be said. There were additional examples of completely absurd statements and tales told by the Justice Department that we won't go over. In the grand scheme of things, our time and attention are better spent elsewhere.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


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Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

U.S. Justice Department Sues Apple on iPhone Monopoly Allegation (My Thoughts and Reactions – Part 2)

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topic:

U.S. Justice Department Sues Apple on iPhone Monopoly Allegation (My Thoughts and Reactions – Part 2)

In today’s update, we will continue our discussion from yesterday regarding the U.S. Justice Department’s antitrust complaint against Apple. We will focus on the specific allegations included in the complaint (available here).

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

U.S. Justice Department Sues Apple on iPhone Monopoly Allegation (My Thoughts and Reactions – Part 1)

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topic:

U.S. Justice Department Sues Apple on iPhone Monopoly Allegation (My Thoughts and Reactions – Part 1)

Hello everyone. We will begin to discuss and analyze the U.S. Justice Department's antitrust complaint against Apple. The full 88-page document is available here. For today’s update, we will keep the discussion focused on my overall thoughts and reactions. We will take a deeper look at some of the specific arguments put forth in the complaint tomorrow.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Member Privileges and Benefits

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  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Thoughts on CNBC’s ESPN Documentary, Bob Chapek Breaks Silence, Big Tech’s True Interest in Live Sports

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Thoughts on CNBC’s ESPN Documentary

  • Bob Chapek Breaks Silence

  • Big Tech’s True Interest in Live Sports

Hello everyone.

Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Justice's long-awaited antitrust complaint against Apple, which has been re-worked numerous times over the years, was released. Apple is accused of possessing an iPhone monopoly in the U.S. smartphone market. I will go through the document in the coming days so that we can begin talking about things on Monday. The full 88-page document can be found here.

For today's update, we cover a news item that jumped out at me earlier today involving ESPN, Big Tech, and live sports.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


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Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Sonos Earnings, Sonos Dropping More Hints of Headphones, Sonos vs. Apple Competition

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Sonos Earnings

  • Sonos Dropping More Hints of Headphones

  • Sonos vs. Apple Competition

The update begins with Neil’s thoughts on Sonos’ FY1Q24 earnings. The discussion then turns to Sonos dropping some of the clearest hints to date that it will soon unveil headphones. We look at the somewhat complicated competitive dynamic between Sonos and Apple.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Walmart Begins Selling $699 M1 MacBook Air, Apple Becomes Aggressive with MacBook Air, Revisiting Mac Sales

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Walmart Begins Selling $699 M1 MacBook Air

  • Apple Becomes Aggressive with MacBook Air

  • Revisiting Mac Sales

Hello everyone. Today’s update will be dedicated to Walmart beginning to sell the Mac for the first time. The announcement is tied to Apple running with new entry-level pricing for the MacBook Air. There are a few angles to the news worth discussing.

Let’s jump right in. 

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

My Thoughts Regarding the Apple / Gemini AI Licensing Rumor

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topic:

My Thoughts Regarding the Apple / Gemini AI Licensing Rumor

Hello everyone. Welcome to a new week. For today’s update, we will discuss Bloomberg’s article about Apple and Gemini. There is quite a bit of speculation and nonsense flying around.

Let’s jump right in. 

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Project Titan Follow-Up, Apple vs. EU Follow-Up

Today's Above Avalon Daily email covers the following topics:

  • Project Titan Follow-Up

  • Apple vs. EU Follow-Up

We close out the week with a few follow-ups to topics that continue to generate buzz among Above Avalon members. We will begin with Project Titan and then turn to the suggestion that Apple should leave the EU.

Above Avalon membership is required to read this update. Members can read the update here.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time. Contact me with any questions. 

Contact me directly if you would like to purchase multiple subscriptions (five or more) for your team or company.

Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive my daily newsletter and reports containing analysis and perspective, 100% related to Apple. 

  • Earnings Model. Access my working Apple earnings model (an Excel file that also works in Numbers).

  • Member Archive. Access all previous analysis sent to members.

  • Member Forums. Interact with other members in the Above Avalon team in Slack.

  • Priority Email Access. Receive timely responses to all email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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