Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Trump Announces Additional Tariffs, White House Hints at Tariff Exemptions for Apple, Apple Options

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Trump Announces Additional Tariffs

  • White House Hints at Tariff Exemptions for Apple

  • Apple Options

Hello everyone. Given how some of you are new to Above Avalon membership (welcome), today is a good time to reiterate that this is not a politics newsletter. Accordingly, our focus is not going to be on the pros and cons of U.S. tariffs. Instead, we have plenty of items to discuss pertaining to how yesterday's big announcement involving reciprocal tariffs will impact Apple.  The discussion will begin by going over what was announced. We will then turn to my latest thinking regarding Apple receiving tariff exemptions. The update will conclude with several options Apple has at its disposal if tariff exemptions do not materialize.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Tesla 1Q25 Delivery Figures, Cybertruck Sales Disclosed, The Big (Auto) Picture

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Tesla 1Q25 Delivery Figures

  • Cybertruck Sales Disclosed

  • The Big (Auto) Picture

The highly anticipated reciprocal tariffs news just dropped. We will dedicate tomorrow’s update to the topic. It’s been nearly a year to the day (April 3rd, 2024) since we last talked about Tesla at length in these updates. Since Apple disbanded Project Titan, my overall approach to the auto industry as it pertains to these updates hasn’t changed. It is good to keep abreast of what’s unfolding in the car industry as the market is too large for Apple to ignore. While the ingredients may not be ripe for Apple’s entry over the next few years, we can’t rule out the company having renewed interest down the road. There is then Apple’s CarPlay initiative as a current integration offering between first-party hardware and non-Apple hardware.

We will begin today’s discussion by going over Tesla’s latest deliveries report.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

More on iPhone Tariffs and India, Tariff Engineering, Apple Fined for Protecting User Privacy

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • More on iPhone Tariffs and India

  • Tariff Engineering

  • Apple Fined for Protecting User Privacy

Welcome to April. We are going to jump into today’s update with some follow-up to yesterday’s discussion. The update focuses on how iPhone production in India impacts Apple’s exposure to U.S. tariffs. We then turn to how Apple can pursue various tariff engineering mechanisms to avoid tariffs. The update concludes with more absurdity from European tech regulators.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple and Elon Musk Battle Over Satellites, Foxconn's iPhone Production in India, DMA’s Political Undertones in Spotlight

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Apple and Elon Musk Battle Over Satellites

  • Foxconn's iPhone Production in India

  • DMA’s Political Undertones in Spotlight

Happy Monday. Welcome to a new week. We kick things off with three stories that appeared on my radar over the weekend. The discussion begins with Elon Musk and Apple increasingly going up against each other in the satellite space. We then turn to Foxconn’s growth plans in India. The update concludes with the Digital Market Act and the regulation's motivation being put in the spotlight. Let’s jump in.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Palmer Luckey on Vision Pro Pricing, Vision Pro microOLED Costs, Improving Vision Pro Accessibility

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Palmer Luckey on Vision Pro Pricing

  • Vision Pro microOLED Costs

  • Improving Vision Pro Accessibility

Hello everyone. Happy Friday. We wrap up this week with Vision Pro. Palmer Luckey, a well-known figure in headset circles, raised a few eyebrows with his latest comments regarding Apple Vision Pro. Let’s discuss.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Selling Curation in Sea of Overabundance, Netflix co-CEO Mocks Apple TV+, Apple’s Sports Intrigue

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Selling Curation in Sea of Overabundance

  • Netflix co-CEO Mocks Apple TV+

  • Apple’s Sports Intrigue

Happy Wednesday. Today’s update will likely conclude our three-day journey through Apple TV+ land. Based on some incoming questions from members, there was interest in going a bit deeper on the concept of Apple selling content curation in today’s overabundance environment. We then conclude with a few thoughts on sports and Apple.

One quick update pertaining to the Financial Models add-on. The four financial models that are part of the add-on have been updated. My iPhone, iPad, and Apple Watch installed base models were expanded to now include metrics through 2026. In addition, my Apple earnings model has been updated through 2026. Given that it’s been a while since we last talked about the add-on, more information will be found at the end of today’s discussion.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

User Metrics Are Complicated for Apple TV+ and Apple Music, A Challenge Found With Apple’s Services, How Apple’s Content Arm Stands Out

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • User Metrics Are Complicated for Apple TV+ and Apple Music

  • A Challenge Found With Apple’s Services

  • How Apple’s Content Arm Stands Out

Hello everyone. Following yesterday's update regarding Apple TV+, there a few ancillary topics worth pursuing. Let's jump right in.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple TV+ Reportedly Losing Money, Apple's Goal for Apple TV+, Apple's New LA Campus Begins to Take Shape

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Apple TV+ Reportedly Losing Money

  • Apple's Goal for Apple TV+

  • Apple's New LA Campus Begins to Take Shape

Hello everyone. We will kick off this week in Apple TV+ land. The Information published an article that said Apple TV+ was unprofitable to the tune of $1B a year. Let’s jump right in.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Shifts Siri Leadership to Mike Rockwell and Craig Federighi

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following story:

  • Apple Shifts Siri Leadership to Mike Rockwell and Craig Federighi

Hello everyone. As discussed earlier this week, when there were newsworthy updates regarding Siri to discuss, we would circle back to the topic. That’s what we will do today as a new report provides much-needed context on the Siri situation.

Before we get to today’s discussion, one quick follow-up when it comes to Sonos. A member reached out to me to say that a big reason for his Sonos usage is better integration with non-Apple audio services. This factor was referred to as “Sonos focusing on music services compatibility” in terms of answers for why iPhone users with multiple Sonos speakers in the home didn't buy HomePods. Maybe my next question on social media should be: iPhone users, why do you use Spotify instead of Apple Music? 

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Sonos Closes Door to Video, Time to Start Asking the Sonos Questions, Apple Opportunities

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Sonos Closes Door to Video

  • Time to Start Asking the Sonos Questions

  • Apple Opportunities

Hello everyone. Today's update will take us into Sonos land. As Sonos continues to navigate turbulent waters, we are getting to the point when questions regarding the company's longer-term prospects need to be asked. There are also some implications to consider as it pertains to Apple.

Let's jump in.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Lars Ulrich Talks With Zane Lowe, More on Apple and Immersive Concerts, Vision Pro and the Feeling of Being Connected

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Lars Ulrich Talks With Zane Lowe

  • More on Apple and Immersive Concerts

  • Vision Pro and the Feeling of Being Connected

Hello everyone. After yesterday’s discussion, there were a few follow-up questions / comments regarding Apple Immersive Metallica. Two general topics were raised by members:

  1. Why doesn’t Apple announce a larger initiative aimed at filming additional concerts? Wouldn’t such news build buzz and lead to a significant pipeline of Apple Immersive Video? 

  2. While capturing concerts in Apple Immersive Video may be great, Apple is unable to replace the social element of going to a concert with friends and family.

There are variables that complicate the underlying assumptions found with those topics. Let’s discuss.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

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Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Releases Metallica on Vision Pro, Thoughts on Apple Immersive Metallica, Apple’s Immersive Video Release Strategy

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Apple Releases Metallica on Vision Pro

  • Thoughts on Apple Immersive Metallica

  • Apple’s Immersive Video Release Strategy

Hello everyone. Happy Monday.

Last week was jam-packed with Siri / Apple Intelligence talk. There was no consensus reaction or response to the Above Avalon Daily update sent out this past Friday. Some members agreed with my stance while others disagreed. A few people reached out to say the situation felt overblown given what unfolded on the ground.

We are going to shift gears and talk about other topics. Depending on the news flow, we will circle back to Siri / Apple Intelligence in due time.

Today's update will take us to Apple Vision Pro land and a new Apple Immersive Video film. Apple Immersive Metallica may be the best immersive film Apple has released to date. 

Let's jump right in. 

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Thoughts on John Gruber's “Something Is Rotten in the State of Cupertino” Post

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following story:

  • Thoughts on John Gruber's “Something Is Rotten in the State of Cupertino” Post

Hello everyone. Welcome to a special Friday edition of the Above Avalon Daily. Today’s update will be focused on John Gruber’s indictment of Apple, published on his Daring Fireball website. Published on Wednesday, this article has made some waves. The update will make for good weekend reading as it’s a bit longer than the usual update.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Curating AI, How AI Curation Breeds Apple Intelligence Criticism

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Curating AI

  • How AI Curation Breeds Apple Intelligence Criticism

Hello everyone. Instead of getting this update out very late Wednesday night, I decided to wait and publish it mid-day Thursday. There will be one more update published this week (tomorrow). We will talk about John Gruber’s (Daring Fireball) indictment of Apple as it relates to Apple Intelligence and the delayed Siri features. The way it works out, today’s discussion will serve as a good lead-in for tomorrow’s update. In a way, we can think of it as this is the first half of a two-part update.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Siri’s Promise, My Issues With Siri, How to Gauge Siri’s Progress

Today's Above Avalon Daily email contains the following stories:

  • Siri’s Promise

  • My Issues With Siri

  • How to Gauge Siri’s Progress

We will continue our discussion from yesterday regarding Siri. There is value found in assessing the promise Apple saw in Siri when acquiring the company. We then go over three issues that have led to some Siri friction. The update concludes with my thoughts on how Siri's progress can be properly measured.

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the Podcast, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

Read More